Schilling defied expectations, earned more votes than all Dems.
Monday, April 9, 2012 | 1:53 p.m.
Rep. Bobby Schilling (R) "received" 13K "more votes than all three Dem candidates combined in the March 20 primary election, casting at least some doubt on the assumption" that the new IL-17 "heavily favors Democrats ... The Republicans may have turned out in greater numbers because of the hotly contested GOP presidential primary." But "The Cook Political Report and the Rothenberg Political Report both view the new [CD17] as competitive but leaning Democratic."
Schilling son/mgr Terry Schilling "predicted [B. Schilling] would win easily in the counties such as Knox, Henry, Whiteside and Jo Daviess. The urban centers likely will prove more of a challenge." B. Schilling also "won Rock Island County in 2010, the first time a Republican congressional candidate had done so for 30 years. If he can repeat that feat and take the rural counties as predicted, he’ll be hard to beat."
CD17 Dem Central Cmteman Don Johnston "has been crunching numbers on the new district to get a feel for what could happen in November ... The new district gave 60 percent of its votes" to Pres.Obama "in the 2008 general election, but two years later 53 percent of voters picked Sen. Mark Kirk (R-IL)." Johnston "said the district appears to have a lot of independent voters who come out to vote in presidential elections and tend to lean Democrat." Because both B. Schilling and ex-East Moline Ald. Cheri Bustos (D) "are from the Quad-Cities, they have work to do to introduce themselves to voters in new parts of the district."
Winnebago Co. Dem Chair Charles Laskonis "said the west side of Rockford that’s now part of the 17th tends to be strongly Democratic. Rural Winnebago County is lightly populated and votes solidly Republican." Laskonis "said he is 'downright giddy' about the possibility of a win" for Bustos. Peoria Co. GOP Chairman Rudy Lewis: “Even though a lot of them are Democrats and union folks, they tend to be pretty conservative and against gun control and abortion, and we have a lot of evangelicals.”
Another "factor in the Peoria area could be lingering bad blood" over the way IL Sen. Dave Koehler(D) "was encouraged to drop out of the Democratic primary" by Sen. Dick Durbin (D). T. Schilling "said some Democrats from the Peoria region had expressed dismay" with that incident, and "thought that could aid [B. Schilling]’s campaign." Bustos: “I talked to Sen. Koehler yesterday, and we will be working together to our mutual success. He’s committed to helping me as much as he can" (Timmons, Moline Dispatch, 4/8).
Schilling son/mgr Terry Schilling "predicted [B. Schilling] would win easily in the counties such as Knox, Henry, Whiteside and Jo Daviess. The urban centers likely will prove more of a challenge." B. Schilling also "won Rock Island County in 2010, the first time a Republican congressional candidate had done so for 30 years. If he can repeat that feat and take the rural counties as predicted, he’ll be hard to beat."
CD17 Dem Central Cmteman Don Johnston "has been crunching numbers on the new district to get a feel for what could happen in November ... The new district gave 60 percent of its votes" to Pres.Obama "in the 2008 general election, but two years later 53 percent of voters picked Sen. Mark Kirk (R-IL)." Johnston "said the district appears to have a lot of independent voters who come out to vote in presidential elections and tend to lean Democrat." Because both B. Schilling and ex-East Moline Ald. Cheri Bustos (D) "are from the Quad-Cities, they have work to do to introduce themselves to voters in new parts of the district."
Winnebago Co. Dem Chair Charles Laskonis "said the west side of Rockford that’s now part of the 17th tends to be strongly Democratic. Rural Winnebago County is lightly populated and votes solidly Republican." Laskonis "said he is 'downright giddy' about the possibility of a win" for Bustos. Peoria Co. GOP Chairman Rudy Lewis: “Even though a lot of them are Democrats and union folks, they tend to be pretty conservative and against gun control and abortion, and we have a lot of evangelicals.”
Another "factor in the Peoria area could be lingering bad blood" over the way IL Sen. Dave Koehler(D) "was encouraged to drop out of the Democratic primary" by Sen. Dick Durbin (D). T. Schilling "said some Democrats from the Peoria region had expressed dismay" with that incident, and "thought that could aid [B. Schilling]’s campaign." Bustos: “I talked to Sen. Koehler yesterday, and we will be working together to our mutual success. He’s committed to helping me as much as he can" (Timmons, Moline Dispatch, 4/8).
Switching Gears
Bustos has "apparently parted ways" with mgr Matt Larson. Monmouth College lecturer Robin Johnson "has been speaking for the campaign." Bustos "would not confirm" a change. Bustos: "We are reviewing the structure of how we run things" (Timmons, Moline Dispatch, 4/6).
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